Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 989.265905 1130.648453 1292.247184 1492.194464 1735.132849 2023.584486 2396.304049
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 802.235355 984.003785 1212.837364 1528.193670 1961.585599 2552.193265 3447.637955
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 722.127388 923.785119 1193.008403 1590.247809 2182.686836 3071.810669 4590.989970
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 653.066169 864.221907 1159.982871 1622.204103 2362.460733 3575.150406 5898.686103
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 591.762928 803.907755 1112.439836 1617.396214 2475.135116 3989.833213 7207.459125
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 551.765647 768.066227 1093.947369 1651.432635 2654.882185 4567.571901 9104.019796
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 498.805387 706.238444 1026.612178 1592.303617 2654.592914 4799.379416 10347.561441
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 455.934137 655.312126 970.127703 1542.128574 2658.941386 5039.478553 11743.983316
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 418.124630 608.708905 915.392995 1486.611657 2640.864072 5224.503185 13103.462916
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 406.721479 603.133075 928.003480 1555.593421 2890.794652 6113.426857 17287.859572
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 391.193436 589.174601 924.356751 1592.528644 3079.906079 6923.799668 22000.059090
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 373.509879 569.976902 909.261537 1604.207224 3214.042423 7639.932777 27166.196465
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 351.441213 542.343881 877.681344 1580.907620 3268.202486 8174.343638 32387.222415
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 339.084962 530.699040 874.611874 1617.888072 3484.838996 9336.714633 43213.412946
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 331.476301 526.623555 885.049127 1685.475692 3800.771229 11028.718855 62054.901268
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 320.597928 515.708832 881.031586 1719.778507 4035.788833 12585.110071 85826.259661
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 306.535901 497.848723 861.459272 1714.654253 4154.713624 13754.350889 111510.178710
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 297.717734 489.086509 859.370458 1751.407088 4415.091763 15776.895479 162826.972507
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 280.258589 462.820889 818.982743 1687.539597 4334.291714 16073.036579 188258.920616
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 265.027263 439.948751 784.010766 1633.381305 4275.283909 16471.861379 221429.160036
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 250.410205 417.479702 748.341928 1573.510876 4184.842983 16661.189709 253742.351285
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 248.084750 418.691432 763.175300 1647.910738 4592.396076 20188.741531 467927.193472
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 242.979757 414.081238 764.961665 1687.780853 4889.381965 23421.006726 834029.804573